If you like birdies, eagles, and players threatening 20-under par the 2014 Deutsche Bank Championship this week is your kind of tournament. Played at the TPC Boston in Norton, Massachusetts, TPC Boston ranks as one of the easier courses on Tour.
Last year, Henrik Stenson (-22) and Steve Stricker (-20) were the two players who shot 20-under or better and 34 players were 10-under or better. So, look for some very low scores this week.
It’s a pretty long course at 7,241, but it is more of a second shot course. Last year, Henrik Stenson (who won at 22-under) only averaged a little more than 280 yards off the tee. There are a lot of doglegs at TPC Boston so bombing it straight down the middle 330 yards isn’t the big advantage here.
With the second shot being key, if you can put it on the dance floor you have a chance to birdie a lot of holes. The greens aren’t very hard to read at all so even the worst of putters will sink a few bombs this week.
Again, referencing back to last year Stenson won and he isn’t the best putter on Tour, but he was able to sink a number of moderate to long putts when he needed to.
Now, just a quick aside, this maybe the final “fantasy sleeper picks” post of the 2013-2014 PGA Tour season. We’ll have to see how things shake out this week and what the final 70 looks like for next week. There won’t be a post for the Tour Championship for sure, but next week is up in the air.
So, if this is the final “sleeper article” for the season thanks for taking the time to read these articles week in and week out, I really appreciate it and see you next season.
Kevin Stadler: Kevin Stadler got off to a great start this season, but as the calender flipped to April, Stadler struggled. From the Houston Open to the St. Jude Classic, Stadler missed five cuts in eight tournaments with his lone highlight coming at The Masters when he finished T-8.
Of late, it seems as though Stadler is getting back on form from earlier in the season when he finished in the top 23 in five of his first eight tournaments. Stadler hasn’t missed the cut in six straight tournaments. While his finishes haven’t been impressive (only real notable result coming at the WGC-Bridgestone finishing T-19) he has at least been making the cut and playing on Saturday and Sunday.
So, not only is he rounding back into shape, but he has played very well at TPC Boston. Last year, Stadler finished T-4 and in 2012 he finished T-10. All in all, I think he’s a good number 5, number 6 golfer this week and real true sleeper because I don’t think many people will have him. He really hasn’t made any headlines since the first quarter of the year and more than likely a lot of people have forgotten about him.
John Senden: John Senden has made it back as a sleeper pick. Last week, Senden had a very quality showing finishing T-22 and I would expect that to be the case again this week. Senden has been in very good form of late and has had a lot of success here at TPC Boston.
In 2012, Senden finished 12th, in 2011 a T-21, 2010: 8th, 2009: T-17, and 2008: T-33. Really I was surprised that Senden was low again this week. I thought he would get a nice little boost based upon his play, but apparently not. Senden is a great value pick to round out your team once again this week.
Webb Simpson: Webb Simpson is a bit like the Bill Haas pick last week. Simpson is a big name player that you can get on the cheap end this week. While Simpson has been a roller coaster this year, Simpson has played well here at Boston the last three years. Simpson won in 2011, finished T-18 in 2012, and last year finished T-53.
Not only that, but Simpson is still competing for a Ryder Cup spot. With the missed cut and Hunter Mahan winning last week, there are about six or seven golfers that are right there for one of the three captain’s picks. In order for Simpson to be apart of the Ryder Cup team he’s got to at least be in the mix and a win might just punch his ticket to Gleneagles.
Also, if you want to look at the trends he is due for a top 10 finish. Going back to the Greenbrier his results have looked like this: 3, MC, T-31, MC, T-5, MC. So, it looks as though he’s in for a very good finish.