Jul 20, 2014; Wirral, GBR; Adam Scott on the 17th hole during the final round at the 143rd Open Championship at The Royal Liverpool Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Steve Flynn-USA TODAY Sports
$12,700 to $10,000
Six golfers are in this price range with Rory McIlroy ($12,700) and Jordan Spieth ($12,000) leading the charge. At the time of this writing, McIlroy wasn’t hurt. But, unfortunately, now he is; McIlroy has officially been ruled out.
Which really sucks because you want the best playing the best and McIlroy was the favorite to win back-to-back Opens. If the weather were to hold up, McIlroy would have been an even bigger favorite. Alas, he is not playing so don’t pick him.
I feel Dustin Johnson ($11,400) will win one of the next three majors. St. Andrews is a great course for him. The PGA Championship is at Whistling Straits – he could have won there already if not for a two shot stroke penalty. Johnson will be one of the favorites there. And then you have, of course, The Masters in April.
This stretch of tournaments sets up well for Johnson that he really has to win a major now. If he doesn’t, well, it may just never happen for him.
Justin Rose ($10,900) costs too much in my eyes. It may comes as a surprise, but Rose doesn’t play very well here at The Open. Rose only has one top ten at The Open and that was back in 1998.
To me, there are better options and I probably won’t have many stocks in on Rose, if at all, depending on how many lineups I play.
Adam Scott ($10,700) and Henrik Stenson ($10,200) are just great picks. With Stevie Williams back on the bag for Scott, he had a great showing at the U.S. Open. I see no reason for Scott to not perform well at The Open. Same could be said for Stenson.
Stenson is right on point right now, he’s striking the ball well, striking it long, putting well. Stenson has got to win a major now. Like Johnson, if he doesn’t win it soon it may never happen.
It’s also worth noting that Stenson finished T-3 at The Open in 2010 when St. Andrews hosted. He is a much better player now than he was then.
We haven’t talked about Spieth, but he’s, obviously, a great pick up as well. Especially if the weather gets nasty. That will play into Spieth’s hands as he is a great wind player. Plus, it will deflate the power hitter’s advantage.
For me, he’s going to be such a popular and obvious pick that I’m going to fade him as much as possible. Especially with McIlroy out, the folks that were going to take McIlroy will probably just pivot down and take Spieth.
All in all, I really like Johnson, Scott, and Stenson in this group. You really can’t go wrong with either of those three. I think I’ll go with Stenson just because he is the cheapest of the three; more of the value play. It really doesn’t matter though as I’ll have a lot of Johnson, Scott, and Stenson exposure.
Next: $9,900-$9,000: Strong Contenders