BMW International Open top 10 power rankings

Henrik Stenson. Mandatory Credit: Michael Madrid-USA TODAY Sports
Henrik Stenson. Mandatory Credit: Michael Madrid-USA TODAY Sports /
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BMW International
Tommy Fleetwood. Mandatory Credit: Rob Schumacher-USA TODAY Sports /

If you followed the U.S Open last week you’re probably wondering why I did’t put Tommy Fleetwood on the top of my rankings. He certainly delivered an heroic game at Erin Hills and I expect it won’t be too long before he closes the deal and takes home some major championship hardware.

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Realistically, however, Fleetwood left a bundle of mental and physical energy at Erin Hills and I’m not certain that he’s had sufficient time to recharge. And then there’s the up and down pattern of his 2017 finishes that gives me pause. He’s come close three times this year to adding a fourth victory to his European Tour record – runner-ups at the WGC-Mexico Championship and the Schenzhen International and a solo fourth at the U.S. Open; and he’s missed four cuts. Fleetwood is good but he’s streaky and so his performance at Munich will depend in large part on which game he has in his bag this week.

When he’s playing in top form, Fleetwood is long and accurate off the tee, as he was last week at the U.S. Open. He’s skilled at fairway ball-striking and shot-shaping, and he can stay in front of the field on the putting surface. Can he win? Certainly. Will he win? Very possibly.