Valspar Championship: Latest Odds And Best Bets For Innisbrook

The PGA Tour returns to Innisbrook Golf and Spa Resort this week for the 2022 Valspar Championship. The Valspar is the final stop on the 2022 Florida swing before the tour travels to Texas next week for the first World Golf Championship event of the year.

It is a pretty impressive field that makes its way to Palm Harbor, Florida, for an event that comes just days after the conclusion of the marathon event known as the 2022 Players Championship. The field strength of 411 makes it the third strongest regular PGA tour event of the season so far, just behind the WM Phoenix Open, and Farmers Insurance Open.

Currently, five of the top ten players in the world are set to tee it up this week with Collin Morikawa, Viktor Hovland, Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele, and Dustin Johnson all making the trip to Innisbrook.

JT and Hovland are currently joint favorites at the top of the oddsmakers boards for the Valspar Championship. Here is a look at the complete top 10 over on WynnBet.

(Odds Courtesy Of WynnBet and are current at the time of publication)

Justin Thomas +1000

Viktor Hovland +1000

Collin Morikawa +1100

Dustin Johnson +1600

Louis Oosthuizen +2000

Sam Burns +2200

Xander Schauffele +2200

Matt Fitzpatrick +2500

Shane Lowry +2500

Tyrrell Hatton +2500

The Best Bets for the 2022 Valspar Championship

Brooks Koepka  +2800

This is purely a case of Zigging when everyone is Zagging. Last week Brooks Koepka was a popular pick at the Players Championship and let everyone down with a pretty poor performance, especially during his second round. I’m willing to throw that out this week however as his whole week at TPC Sawgrass was disrupted by the elements.

Koepka may be playing better than it would appear as well, he was decent at the Honda Classic several starts ago when he gained 3.0 strokes with his irons on his way to a 16th place finish. Really his whole game was pretty sharp with the exception of the putter.

The four-time major winner has a pretty good track record on courses’ that compare well with Innisbrook, with high finishes at TPC Southwind, Harbour Town, and TPC River Highlands.

Jason Kokrak  +3300

Kokrak has nice history at the Valspar Championship with five top 15 finishes in his last seven starts at Innisbrook. He has made the cut in each of his last eight starts, this includes last week at TPC Sawgrass in difficult circumstances.

Jason has gained strokes with his irons and the putter in each of his last four starts and really the only thing that has kept him from contending is his off the tee game. Innisbrook will challenge everyone’s driving accuracy this week, however, and I am confident that Kokrak can drive the ball well at the Valspar Championship once again after gaining strokes in that department in five of his last seven starts at Innisbrook.

Alex Noren  +5000

The Swede finished 21st at the Valspar Championship in his first start at Innisbrook last year and he comes into this week having played some really nice golf in 2022 so far. Noren has two top 10’s in his last four starts and he had a solid week last week at the Players Championship as well where he finished 26th.

Alex has gained over six strokes tee to green in each of his last two starts and could be on the verge of picking up his first PGA win. He is definitely worth taking a shot with at +5000 odds this week.

Mito Pereira  +12500

I’ll finish by taking a shot with the talented Chilean at long odds this week. Pereira has a 15th and 30th place finish in two of his last three starts. He missed the cut last week but a glance at the numbers reveals that was solely due to his putter as he lost over four strokes on the greens for a second consecutive start.

Mito has gained strokes tee to green in three straight starts and he has also been solid with his approach numbers. It wasn’t that long ago that he was gaining with the putter so I’ll take a chance that he turns that around this week at the Valspar Championship.