2022 Mexico Open Fantasy Dark Horses
By Matt Hupfer
The inaugural Mexico Open has one of the weakest fields the tour will see all year. Several DP World Tour events and even an Asian Tour event have boasted stronger fields.
Outside of Jon Rahm, every player in the field who has played in at least eight events has missed three or more cuts. In fantasy leagues, players will be much more expensive than we are accustomed to seeing. The difference between the expensive players and the cheap guys is negligible at best and I’m going to try to identify some of the dark horses for the Mexico Open.
The following stats are making up a significant portion of my model, which considers a player’s last 24 rounds: Approach (175+), birdie or better, putting (slow greens), driving distance, total (easy scoring conditions), tee-to-green (long courses), sand saves, and two comparable courses.
The purpose of this article is not to provide an exact lineup for a specific fantasy provider, but to highlight some dark horse options to complement the expensive players in fantasy lineups.
Fantasy Golf Dark Horses For The 2022 Mexico Open at Vidanta
Scott Stallings
Outside of putting where he ranks seventh in the field, he’s not in the top 20 in any key stats. Unlike every player who will be priced around him in fantasy leagues, he doesn’t have any glaring weaknesses. He’s in the top third in the field in almost every stat I’m looking at this week. He won’t have to rely so much on one aspect of his game to succeed so Stallings is a relatively safe play this week.
Greyson Sigg
The only other player in the field who can say they have made the cut in eight of their last nine is Jon Rahm. Sigg’s not the longest off-the-tee but he has good tee-to-green numbers, scores well in easy conditions, rolls it well on the green, and is top 10 in the field in birdies. In an event where a lot of players are coming in after missing multiple cuts in a row, the recent form from Sigg is promising.
Vaughn Taylor
You can count on two hands how many players in the field have made the cut in five of their last six events. Taylor is one of them and outside of Garrigus, you won’t find the others anywhere near his price range in fantasy leagues. His driving distance stats rank near the bottom of the field, but he’s had success on long tracks before so that’s not too worrisome. His putting is a bit of a concern but the approach and birdie or better numbers look good enough to roster Taylor this week.
Robert Garrigus
He’s one of the longest off-the-tee this week, which is advantageous on paspalum fairways because the ball won’t get as much rollout on the slow sticky grass. My dark horses have all had decent form as of late and Garrigus is no different. He’s made six consecutive cuts including a T36 at the comparable Corales in his last showing.
His season has been quite the roller coaster. He’s made six consecutive cuts, followed by three straight missed cuts, and has now made three cuts in a row. His approach, birdie or better, and tee-to-green numbers are enough to give him a shot this week, with the hope being that he gets hot with an often ice-cold putter.
Scott Brown
Scott Brown is one of the shorter hitters in the field, but he seems to thrive on long courses. If you’re looking for a cheap cut maker, look no further. The two best course comps this week are Corales and Coco Beach. Brown has played Coco Beach, host of the Puerto Rico Open, 10 times and has never missed a cut. He has four top 10s including a win. He’s never missed the cut at Corales in his only two starts. He’s top 10 in the field in birdie or better, which bodes well for a tournament where players need to go low to win.