2022 US Open: The Complete Betting Guide For The Country Club

2022 US Open: Best Outright Bets

(Odds subject to change, all odds courtesy of WynnBet)

Collin Morikawa +3000

This was the first click of the week for me.

Admittedly, his form has been shaky at best recently, but he’s still a two-time major champion.

A price discount was expected given the results in his last few starts but I don’t understand how he can be priced the same as Will Zalatoris and Matt Fitzpatrick.

Fitzy and Will Z have been playing great as of late, but neither has ever won an event on the PGA Tour. To have your first win be the US Open is a big ask.

Morikawa has five top 10s, four top fives, and two wins in his last eight majors.

Brookline demands accuracy over length and that falls right into Morikawa’s wheelhouse.

Morikawa is both 15th in fairways gained and greens in regulation and there’s no better iron player on tour when he’s dialed in.

Add in the fact that he’s third in difficult scoring conditions, second in bogey avoidance, and a proven major champion.

Sportsbooks don’t go broke by setting soft lines, but they’ll be licking their wounds if Morikawa is lifting the trophy this weekend.

Shane Lowry +3500

The only player without a single red number in any of the 14 key stats and number two overall in the model is Lowry.

He’s top 10 in greens, scrambling, sand saves, and approach from 175+. He has no holes in his game right now and his results are reflecting that.

He has six top 15 finishes in his last eight starts and he thrives in difficult scoring conditions.

The US Open winner often makes the fewest bogeys and Suga Shane is number one in bogey avoidance.

He’s a major winner who has two top-fives in his last five majors. He’s arguably playing the best golf of his career and he’s checking all the boxes for me this week.

Viktor Hovland +3500

You knew this pick was coming. I can’t stay away. Hovi playing golf tournaments has become a tax on me.

Admittedly, this pick is very biased, but it’s been over two years since Hovland’s outright number started with a 3.

The around the green game desperately needs some TLC.

He’s going to make a fair share of bogeys due to his inability to get up and down.

Now that we’ve gotten his only glaring weakness out of the way, let’s talk about the good.

He’s one of the elite ball strikers on tour. He’s going to find a lot more fairways and greens than the field average.

He scores well in difficult conditions and he’s one of the best iron players in the world.

He’s quietly becoming one of the better putters on tour too, gaining over two shots on the greens on average over his last eight starts.

He has an easier time chipping out of heavy rough than tight lies and while he may leave himself longer putts after chipping than other players would, he’s going to hole more of them.

Aaron Wise +10000

The recent form and the price enticed me enough to take a shot on Wise. He’s gained over a shot on the field tee to green in his last eight starts and that’s a recipe for success at the US Open.

He’s struggled a little with the flat stick, but he gained over 4.5 shots on the greens in each of his last two starts and he finished solo second in his last outing.

Had Billy Horschel not played the Memorial and Wise won by two shots, we’re looking at a much more expensive price tag on Wise this week.

Enjoy the carnage this week!