2023 WM Phoenix Open Value Menu: DraftKings Value Picks for Phoenix

Taylor Pendrith, 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am,(Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images)
Taylor Pendrith, 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am,(Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images) /

Each week I will provide my favorite value plays for the upcoming PGA DraftKings slate.

A value play is determined by a golfer being underpriced or coming in at lower ownership. I’ll also establish who will be the most rostered on the slate also known as the “chalk”.

We always want to play the best plays but we need leverage as well. Determining the difference between good “chalk” (highly owned) and bad “chalk” is essential.

I’ll list which of the high-owned golfers I’ll be playing this week at the WM Phoenix Open. Pairing those plays with lower-owned golfers is the optimal way to build and gives us the best route to winning a DraftKings contest.

*Ownership projections are estimates and will vary from contest to contest. The percentage provided is in regard to guaranteed prize pools on DraftKings

2023 WM Phoenix Open: Value Plays

Taylor Montgomery ($8,300)

DK Ownership 10-12%- So far this year, Montgomery has finished 12th at the Sony Open, and 5th at The American Express. He came 31st at the Farmers despite a rough weekend; shooting a 75 on both Saturday and Sunday. It was the putter that let him down at the Farmers after gaining over nine strokes putting combined in the previous two tournaments. He gained strokes off the tee in all three of those tournaments.

Taylor Pendrith ($7,400)

DK Ownership 6-8%- Pendrith finished strong at Pebble Beach shooting a final round 64 and finishing in 7th place. TPC Scottsdale requires a strong off-the-tee game and Pendrith is 8th in strokes gained off the tee over the last 50 rounds. A rib injury kept him out for the bulk of last year and a healthy Pendrith could put together some impressive performances. I want to be ahead of that and will play him at low ownership.

Brendan Steele ($7,200)

DK Ownership 10-12%- Steele rates out well from a statistical standpoint. He’s 5th in strokes gained off the tee, 4th on approach, and 5th in opportunities gained over the last 50 rounds. Although he’s missed the cut at the WM Phoenix Open in three of the last four years, he has had success here in the past. He came 3rd in 2018, had 6th place finishes in 2014 & 2013, and came 5th in 2012.

Mark Hubbard ($6,300)

DK Ownership 3-5%- If you’re looking for a salary saver you could take a shot on Hubbard. After a rough start to 2023 and a rough start at Pebble Beach, Hubbard turned it around shooting 69, 69, and 68 en route to a 20th-place finish. He has some good finishes at TPC Scottsdale. He came 30th here in 2021 and 9th in 2020.

2023 WM Phoenix Open: The Chalk

Collin Morikawa ($9,700)

DK Ownership 18-22%- Morikawa is in great form to start the year. He came 2nd at the TOC after his rough Sunday and came 3rd at the Farmers. He’s 4th from tee to green and 3rd in ball striking over the last 24 rounds. He provides a safe floor while still having tournament-winning upside.

Sungjae Im ($9,200)

DK Ownership 20-24%- Im is underpriced relative to his current form. He finished 4th at the Farmers and 18th at The American Express.

Next. 2023 WM Phoenix Open DFS Selections. dark

He’s also incredibly consistent; gaining strokes off the tee in ten of his last twelve tournaments. He only missed one cut over that span. He’ll be a popular play for good reason.