2025 Charles Schwab Challenge: Picks, predictions at Colonial (Scheffler won't win)

No, Scottie Scheffler will not win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge.
Daniel Berger hits approach shot during the final round of the 2025 RBC Heritage
Daniel Berger hits approach shot during the final round of the 2025 RBC Heritage | Andrew Redington/GettyImages

The Charles Schwab Challenge represents the final event of this year's Texas Swing as the PGA Tour heads to Fort Worth for one of the more unique stops on the schedule: Colonial Country Club.

The 2025 edition of the Charles Schwab Challenge will mark the second playing of this historic event since a significant renovation project took place at Colonial ahead of last year's tournament. As always, the 7,289-yard, par-70 design should provide a unique test for this week's 135-man field.

Despite being sandwiched between last week's PGA Championship and the season's seventh Signature Event, the Memorial Tournament, there are a handful of high-profile names who are set to tee it up this week at Colonial, none bigger, of course, than three-time major champion Scottie Scheffler, who comes in fresh off his incredible win at Quail Hollow.

Defending champion Davis Riley, who beat Scheffler to the title here last year, Hideki Matsuyama, Jordan Spieth, and Tommy Fleetwood will all join Scheffler this week in the Lone Star State, so let's dive into the picks and predictions for the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge.

2025 Charles Schwab Challenge picks and predictions

Top 20 pick for the Charles Schwab Challenge: Harry Hall (+230)

Harry Hall enters the week after quietly finishing in a tie for 19th place at last week's PGA Championship.

He has finished T26 or better in four of his last six starts and returns to Colonial for the third time in his career, missing the cut a year ago after a T3 finish here in 2023.

The Englishman can get hot on the greens, ranking third in the field in strokes gained putting over the last 20 rounds, per Data Golf. Blend his skills on the greens with any life from his irons, and Hall could be in for another excellent showing in Texas.

Top 10 pick for the Charles Schwab Challenge: Maverick McNealy (+275)

Maverick McNealy, a winner last fall at the RSM Classic, has finished T32 and T3 in his two previous starts in the Lone Star State this season.

A third-place finish at the Valero Texas Open in April was followed two weeks later with another T3 finish at the RBC Heritage, marking his fifth top 10 of the season.

The 29-year-old recorded a T17 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge last year, and he enters this year's edition having gained strokes on approach in six consecutive starts now, which will be crucial at a short positional course like Colonial.

Sleeper pick to win the Charles Schwab Challenge: Nico Echavarria (+12000)

Nico Echavarria missed the cut at the Charles Schwab Challenge last year. But since then, he's won at the Zozo Championship last October and has also added a pair of runner-up finishes at both the RSM Classic and the Sony Open in Hawaii.

The 30-year-old comes into the week ranked sixth in strokes gained putting so far this season and having gained strokes on approach in each of his last two starts. He has the skillset to contend at a venue like Colonial and could be trending towards another big result soon.

Pick to win the Charles Schwab Challenge: Daniel Berger (+2500)

Nope, it's not Scottie Scheffler.

A winner at the Charles Schwab Challenge in 2020, defeating Collin Morikawa in a playoff, Daniel Berger is looking for his first victory since the 2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

After missing substantial time due to a back injury, the four-time PGA Tour winner is back to playing some solid golf this season.

Berger enters the week with nine top-25 finishes this season already, including a runner-up finish at the WM Phoenix Open and a T3 at the RBC Heritage last month.

An elite ball striker, the 32-year-old ranks third in the field in strokes gained approach over the last 20 rounds and second in tee-to-green. It seems it's only a matter of time before Berger finds the winner's circle once again, and that could very well come this week at a locale where he has fond memories.

All betting odds courtesy of DraftKings. Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. The content in this article should not be considered betting advice. Gambling involves risk, and one should only gamble with funds that one can comfortably afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

More golf news and analysis