AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Key Betting Matchup of the Week

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am was elevated to a Signature Event last season, reducing the field from 156 professionals and amateurs to just 80 players. With its elevated status, the tournament also shifted from a three-course rotation with a 54-hole cut to a two-course rotation with no cut.

This marks the third consecutive week featuring a multi-course rotation. Golfers will play one round each at Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill Golf Course on Thursday and Friday, then finish the weekend with two rounds at Pebble Beach.

Pebble Beach Golf Links has been a staple of this event since 1947, marking the first year the tournament returned after a hiatus from 1943-1946 due to World War II. Originally designed by Jack Neville and Douglas Grant in 1919, the course has undergone several renovations over the years. Today, it stands as a Par 72, measuring 6,972 yards, with a traditional layout featuring four par 3s, ten par 4s, and four par 5s.

Spyglass Hill Golf Course, also part of Pebble Beach Resorts, opened in 1966 and joined the event’s course rotation in 1967, replacing the Shore Course at Monterey Peninsula Country Club. Designed by Robert Trent Jones Sr., the course was renovated in 1999 to bring it in line with modern playing standards. Spyglass Hill plays as a Par 72 with a traditional layout, measuring 7,041 yards.

Winners of this event have generally excelled in three key areas: Strokes Gained: Approach, Strokes Gained: Around the Green, and SG: Putting. Four of the last five champions ranked 15th or better in SG: Approach, with the exception of Wyndham Clark last year, who finished 58th in that category but relied on his short game and putting to secure the victory. Additionally, four of the past five winners ranked 15th or better in SG: Around the Green, with Tom Hoge in 2022 being the outlier, finishing 22nd in that stat. Finally, four of the last five winners ranked 15th or better in SG: Putting, with Daniel Berger in 2021 as the lone exception, finishing 18th in that category.

Note: All odds are courtesy of BetMGM unless otherwise noted. Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. All bets are (whatever the unit is) unless otherwise noted. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

2025 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Top Matchup Pick

Top South American - Nico Echavarria (-125) [Risk 1.25 Units]

Pardon the horse racing puns, but the Top South American market this week is a two-horse race. Nico Echavarria is favored at -125, while Jhonattan Vegas sits at +100.

Nico Echavarria captured his second career PGA TOUR victory last year at the ZOZO Championship and carried that momentum through the end of the season. Following his win, he posted strong finishes, including T6 at the World Wide Technology Championship, T29 at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship, and a runner-up finish at The RSM Classic. His solid play has continued into 2025, with a T32 at The Sentry and a heartbreaking runner-up finish at the Sony Open in Hawaii, where he lost in a playoff to Nick Taylor. However, his form took a dip at The American Express, where he missed the cut, struggling with both his approach play and putting. Echavarria made his AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am debut in 2023 but missed the cut, losing strokes in every category.

Jhonattan Vegas experienced an up-and-down 2024 season but still managed to secure his fourth career PGA TOUR victory at the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. He started the 2025 season on a high note with a strong 4th-place finish at The Sentry. However, his momentum has slowed in recent weeks, missing the cut at The American Express and finishing T42 at the Farmers Insurance Open. In his two previous appearances at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, he missed the cut in 2016 and finished T50 in 2021.

Looking at this matchup, I like Nico Echavarria to finish higher this week at Pebble Beach. Based on the skill set needed for success here, I’d give the edge to Echavarria in short game, driving accuracy, and putting, while Vegas holds an advantage in ball striking. Over the last 24 rounds, Echavarria ranks 39th in SG: Approach, 62nd in SG: Around the Green, 9th in Good Drives Gained, and 75th in SG: Putting on Poa greens. Meanwhile, Vegas ranks 16th in SG: Approach, 79th in SG: Around the Green, 72nd in Good Drives Gained, and 88th in SG: Putting on Poa.

When Vegas delivers a strong finish, it’s typically due to a combination of solid iron play and a hot putter. However, that formula has been rare lately, as he has struggled on the greens, losing strokes putting in two of his last three events. Even when his putter was on at The American Express, his iron play let him down. In his two previous appearances at Pebble Beach, he lost strokes putting both times, and given his recent inconsistency on the greens, I don’t expect that trend to change this week.

I expect Echavarria to rebound with his ball striking this week, and if he does, his all-around game should be strong enough to propel him to a solid finish. I’m not placing too much weight on his missed cut at this event in 2023, as he has shown significant improvement since then.