The Valspar Championship marks the final event of this year's Florida Swing. After stops at PGA National, Arnie's Place, and last week's 51st Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass, the PGA Tour concludes this year's time in Florida at the Valspar Championship.
Like the majority of locales on the Florida portion of the PGA Tour schedule, the famous Copperhead Course at the Innisbrook Golf Resort in Palm Harbor has historically provided a tough test for its fields.
Throw in adverse weather, and an already challenging test is taken up another level. With The Masters just around the corner, those who teed it up at this year's Valspar would look to fine-tune their games ahead of the season's first major championship.
While every player in this week's 156-man field at the Valspar Championship would undoubtedly have their sights set on capturing the title, job one would be to make the cut and guarantee a weekend tee time.
How many players make the cut at the Copperhead Course? Let's take a look at the cut rules, some historic cut lines, and the latest projections to see what the number might be at the 2025 edition of the Valspar Championship.
Valspar Championship cut rules: How many players make the cut?
Following in the footsteps of last week's Players Championship, the Valspar Championship will feature a traditional cut after 36 holes with the top 65 players and ties from this year's field of 156 moving on to the weekend.
After a run of Signature Events recently, the Valspar represents one of several events in the lead-up to Augusta National that will feature more traditional cut rules, something which is becoming more of a rarity on the PGA Tour nowadays with reduced fields and elevated purses often resulting in four guaranteed rounds of golf for some of the game's biggest stars.
What has the cut line previously been at the Valspar Championship?
The cut line at last year's Valspar Championship, won by Peter Malnati, was even-par. Here is a look at the last five editions of the tournament. *The 2020 edition was canceled due to COVID-19.
Year | Cut Line |
|---|---|
2024 | E |
2023 | +1 |
2022 | -3 |
2021 | -1 |
2019 | +1 |
Looking back at recent editions of this event, the cut line has seldom deviated from the even-par mark that was seen at last year's tourney, with the cut only exceeding more than a single stroke in either direction on just one occasion, that coming in 2022.
Additionally, over the last 10 tournaments at the Copperhead Course, the cut line has only come in under par on two instances (2021, 2022), with each of the previous editions witnessing a cut mark over par dating back to 2014.
This only further illustrates the demanding test players encounter more often than not when they tee it up in the Valspar Championship.
Valspar Championship cut line projection: What will the cut be in 2025?
For what would be the ninth time in the last 11 events, the Valspar Championship is on course to produce a cut line of even-par or worse with Data Golf projecting a +2 mark and giving it around a 43% chance of coming to fruition.
The current projected number would mark the highest cut at the Valspar Championship since a 3-over cut line in 2018. As things stand, the projections marginally favor a shift back to +1 ahead of the mark falling back even further to +3 with probabilities of around 27% and 20%, respectively.
A 2-over cut line could spell bad news for players like Tom Kim and Jordan Spieth, leaving others, including Justin Thomas, Sam Burns, and Tommy Fleetwood, in potentially tenuous positions ahead of the 36-hole cut at this year's Valspar Championship.