2015 RBC Heritage Fantasy Sleeper Picks

It’s a nice change of pace this week on the PGA Tour as the tour stops by Hilton Head, South Carolina for the RBC Heritage. The RBC Heritage is a tournament played on the Harbour Town Golf Links which requires smart, precision golf shots. Golfers smashing it 300 yards in the rough is actually a disadvantage this week.

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The winning formula here at Harbour Town Golf Links is being consistently good from tee-to-green and scrambling well when you do hit it in the rough. And, of course, putting well is pretty much a must every week.

Overall, we have a pretty strong field which gives us a chance to pick some quality golfers underneath the salary cap this week. So, with that said, let’s go over the 2015 RBC Heritage fantasy sleeper picks.

Brendon Todd– Brendon Todd had a terrible week at The Masters last week and DraftKings’ pricing seems to have overreacted. Todd is still an excellent ball striker and his game fits well at Harbour Town.

Todd is 17th in driving accuracy, 36th Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and his wedge play from 125 yards in is fantastic. Todd is also 33rd in Strokes Gained: Putting, and has an excellent short game as he ranks 1st in sand saves, and 9th in scrambling.

Todd finished T-38 last year at the RBC Heritage and I’m looking for him to improve on that finish this week.

Rory Sabbatini– Rory Sabbatini has been boom-or-bust this year. When Sabbatini has made the cut, he has had really quality finishes. Sabbatini has made the cut seven times this year and in six of those seven tournaments he has finished no worse than T-24.

In fact, when you look at the stats, Sabbatini is striking the ball better than he has had in the past couples of years. Sabbatini is hitting 70% of fairways, which is good for 20th on Tour and he is 37th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green.

Next to Luke Donald, Sabbatini is the next best horse for the course here at Harbour Town. Last year, Sabbatini finished T-9, in 2013 he finished T-9, In 2012: T-17, 2010: T-14, and 2009: T-8. On paper, Sabbatini looks like a fantastic value play this week.

Fredrik Jacobson– It’s kind of interesting that Fredrik Jacobson hasn’t played here in a couple of years. From 2012 to 2008, Jacobson made the cut all five times and finished inside the top 22 in three of those years.

Harbour Town is course that is suited to Jacobson’s game. While Jacobson’s ball striking hasn’t been on point, Jacobson’s putter has been fantastic as he ranks 7th in Strokes Gained: Putting. If he can find that fairways and the magic in his iron play this week, Jacobson could be in the thick of things this week.

Brian Harman– Why would anybody take Brian Harman this week? He has missed five straight cuts and hasn’t broke 70 since the final round at the Honda Classic. There’s no reason to take Harman which is why he may be the perfect play this week.

I’ve done predictions for all the various sports out there and golf is easily the hardest to handicap. Anything can happen from week to week.

Someone struggling all year long can all of a sudden put together four rounds of their life and win. On the flip side someone playing extremely well can have a bad couple of days and miss the cut. It’s a cliché, but anything can happen.

Now, I’m not picking Harman to win, but I think he is a great contrarian play this week. Harman is an accurate short hitter who has had some success at the RBC Heritage.

Last year, Harman finished T-7, and in 2013 and 2012 he made the cut. Not only that, but rain is in the area and Harman plays very well in the rain. There’s usually that one golf who is 0.4% owned that has a great week and it might just be Harman this week.

Next: RBC Heritage Power Rankings

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