2015 PGA Championship DraftKings Fantasy Picks
By Danny Norris
Jul 25, 2015; Oakville, Ontario, CAN; Brooks Koepka (USA) hits the ball on the second tee box in the third round of the RBC Canadian Open at Glen Abbey Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports
$7,900-$7,000
Tons of options here in this range I’m not entirely sure where I want to begin. Let’s see, I’ll start with some golfers that stick out to me in terms of value.
If I asked you to take either Patrick Reed ($7,600) or Marc Leishman ($7,600), who would you take? For me, it’s a slam dunk, I’d rather have Reed.
I know Leishman might be a bit of a hot pick based on his performance at The Open, but that shouldn’t have been that big of a surprise. Leishman typically plays well at Open Championships because he is a fantastic wind player.
When you look at the whole picture, Leishman missed the cut at Chambers Bay and I don’t think he’ll seriously compete at Whistling Straits.
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Reed, on the other hand, hasn’t set the world on fire, but he’s been consistently very good this season.
Reed finished T-22 at The Masters, T-14 at The U.S. Open, and T-20 at The Open. A T-25 finish for Reed is a safe bet with a lot of upside of finishing better than that.
I’ll put it this way, Reed’s floor and ceiling are higher than Leishman’s. How they ended up the same price, I have no idea, but there is a lot of value on Reed at $7,600.
Brooks Koepka ($7,800) is healthy and playing like it. Koepka has made the cut in six straight tournaments and has finished no worse than T-18 in the last four tournaments. A T-3 finish at the St. Jude Classic, T-18 at the U.S. Open, T-10 at The Open, and T-18 at the RBC Canadian Open.
Koepka is playing excellent golf and is made to score big time at Whistling Straits. A wide open links-like course is where Koepka made his bones on the European Tour. I really like Koepka and I absolutely love the price.
I really like J.B. Holmes ($7,100) as well here at Whistling Straits. He was disappointing at St. Andrews, but I look for him to bounce back at PGA Championship.
As we keep hammering home, length matters here and Holmes is one of the biggest bombers and highest hitters on Tour. Plus, with his disappointing result at The Open, people may be off Holmes.
If he doesn’t play well at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational he maybe an even better pick as more people will probably be off Holmes.
Branden Grace ($7,300) is another golfer that got a steep discount for some reason. Grace has been really good, he finished T-4 at the U.S. Open and performed well at The Open with a T-20 finish.
Grace is another value that I wouldn’t sleep on and I don’t think anybody really will. The results speak for themselves. He is playing well at these majors and Whistling Straits has a lot of characteristics similar to Chambers Bay and St. Andrews. It’s tough to envision Grace being under 10% owned.
I’m not sure how DraftKings distributes their salaries, but Grace, Koepka, and Reed are way off. And that’s just in this group. In the previous slides we mentioned that Matsuyama was vastly underpriced and Oosthuizen comes in cheaper than expected as well.
Danny Willett ($7,200) is probably a good bet to perform well, but I can’t help but feel that he is going to be the golfer everyone is on. Willett was in the mix during the weekend and held his own. In fact, when paired with Dustin Johnson, he outplayed him on Saturday.
I rate Willett highly, but you can probably take either Grace or Holmes who I’m sure will be less owned.
Keegan Bradley ($7,400) is in the same boat. I would expect him to play well at Whistling Straits, but with how he’ll probably perform at Firestone he might become a sexy pick and I’m just not sure I want him on my team.
Plus, Bradley is way too volatile for my liking. Which is weird to say considering he has made 16 of 19 cuts, but at big events he busts quite a bit. Two of those missed cuts came at The Open and THE PLAYERS.
Gary Woodland ($7,200) has the game that should translate to success at Whistling Straits, but he is just way too inconsistent for my liking. Woodland will have a great result and then miss the cut.
Woodland should have been in the mix at the Quicken Loans National, but he wasn’t. He missed the cut. Woodland bombs the ball, but everything else hasn’t come together, yet.
There is a lot of talent in this range and we really haven’t even scratched the surface. If Webb Simpson ($7,200) could make a putt he might make some noise. As it is, he finished T-40 at the The Open and T-46 at the U.S. Open.
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Ryan Palmer ($7,100) has made the cut in five straight starts including a T-30 finish at St. Andrews. Billy Horschel ($7,400) finished inside the top 30 at both Opens.
Paul Casey ($7,400) isn’t as hot as he was earlier, but still playing well enough. Five straight made cuts, T-39 at the U.S. Open, 2nd place finish at the Travelers Championship.
My point being, there is a lot to take in, in just this section. Lost in the shuffle are golfers like Charl Schwartzel ($7,700) and Shane Lowry ($7,500). Both disappointed at St. Andrews – Schwartzel finished T-68, Lowry missed the cut – but both finished inside the top nine at Chambers Bay.
If you wanted to go full blown contrarian, I’d recommend Schwartzel and Lowry. With everyone else around, they will most definitely be an afterthought.
We touched upon a good amount of golfers, but for my pick, I’m taking Koepka. I just feel Koepka is peaking at the right time, he’s playing well at the majors and Whistling Straits is really suited to his game.
The Wanamaker is usually hoisted by really good players. Rory McIlroy is elite, but golfers like Keegan Bradley, Jason Dufner, Martin Kaymer, have all been champions recently. Writing the name Brooks Koepka as champion in 2015 isn’t all that farfetched.
Next: $6,900-$6,000: The Sleepers