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2015 PGA Championship Betting Odds

By Danny Norris

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A month has already gone by and now it’s the final major of the season: the PGA Championship. After The Open Championship we looked at the initial PGA Championship betting odds.

With it being PGA Championship week now is the time to take a look at the odds now and see just how much they have changed between then and now.

As we did last month, we will be using oddschecker and using the wide range of books available to come up with the median betting odds for each player.

  1. Jordan Spieth- 5/1
  2. Rory McIlroy- 10/1
  3. Jason Day- 12/1
  4. Bubba Watson- 14/1
  5. Dustin Johnson- 16/1
  6. Justin Rose- 18/1
  7. Rickie Fowler- 20/1
  8. Henrik Stenson- 25/1
  9. Adam Scott- 25/1
  10. Louis Oosthuizen- 33/1
  11. Brooks Koepka- 40/1
  12. Hideki Matsuyama- 40/1
  13. Sergio Garcia- 40/1
  14. Jim Furyk- 50/1
  15. Zach Johnson- 50/1
  16. Martin Kaymer- 55/1
  17. Shane Lowry- 55/1
  18. Patrick Reed- 60/1
  19. Matt Kuchar- 60/1
  20. Tiger Woods- 60/1

Not much of a surprise to see Jordan Spieth still the favorite. Rory McIlroy will be playing, but this is his first tournament since the U.S. Open. Bettors are clearly not too comfortable putting their money on him right now.

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As we talked about last month, the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational would be significant in terms of betting odds. The golfers that did well and the golfer that would win would get a huge boost. And that’s exactly what happened. Specifically,  Shane Lowry.

Lowry wasn’t anywhere near the top twenty, he was around 150/1 a month ago. Now, as you can see above, he is around the 50’s.

Bubba Watson and Justin Rose were in contention and in turn their odds got a bit shorter. Now, they are where they should be, especially Watson.

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At 25/1 last month Watson was way undervalued. I’m not entirely sure why he was so long, but now at 14/1 he is in the range where he should be.

Speaking of value, Brooks Koepka and Hideki Matsuyama had tons of value on them last month.They both were just inside the top twenty at around 60/1.

Unsurprisingly enough, a lot of money came in on both of them and now they are at around 40/1. That’s in the ballpark of where they should be, but I still think there is value on them.

I’ll put it this way, next year at The Masters they may be in the range of 15/1 to 25/1. So, at 40/1 that isn’t bad value at all. It’s not 60/1, but still enough value to turn a major profit.

On the flip side, Adam Scott didn’t have a great showing at Firestone and he fell a bit as he is just inside the top ten now. Phil Mickelson has been dropping like a stone he was 25/1 just a month ago, now he is outside the top twenty at around 60/1.

Jimmy Walker has been pretty, “meh” of late and nobody is putting their money on him. A month ago, Walker was 50/1 now he is 100/1. Walker has the game to compete, but he just isn’t playing well. The line movement is understandable.

I mentioned a couple of long shot bets last month. I was liking Keegan Bradley, but he is playing with Tiger Woods. I’m not liking his chances of making the cut now.

Speaking of Woods, he crawled his way up into the top twenty as he played well at the Quicken Loans National and that was enough for some folks to put some money on him.

I still like Bernd Wiesberger who is still at around 150/1 and you can grab J.B. Holmes at over 100/1. That is actually better value than what it was last month.

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Holmes hasn’t been playing well of late, so that’s the reason for the slight line change, but I love Holmes’ length here at Whistling Straits. I could see Holmes hanging around the leaderboard.

I believe we touched upon a little bit of everything. I’m glad we looked at the odds right after The Open concluded because it gives you a good idea of how bettors are and were thinking as the month progressed.

As for me, as I touched upon, I like Koepka and Matusyama even with the shorter odds. I don’t think those are bad bets. Dustin Johnson at 16/1 is better than what it was a month ago.

Rose didn’t have a great showing with the putter, but I’m banking he’ll figure it out. I’m not going to overreact and at 18/1 that’s fine. I’ll have my shares of Scott and Henrik Stenson at 25/1 as well.

That’s basically who I’m targeting for this week and, of course, as I touched upon as long shot bets, I’ll put a couple of bucks on Wiesberger and Holmes. Just in case.

Also, I do like Day and Watson, but I liked them a month ago. If you didn’t put money on them last month, it’s kind of tough to recommend them now. Their value has diminished, but hey, I suppose a win is a win whether it’s 20/1 or 10/1.

Next: PGA Championship: 3 Unlikely Heroes Who Could Shine

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