DraftKings: Making DFS picks for the 2019 AT&T Byron Nelson

This week, the PGA Tour shifts back to the state of Texas with the 2019 AT&T Byron Nelson. This event presents the DFS community and Draftkings with a considerably weaker field than most PGA Tour events.

In my opinion, a tournament without the majority of the PGA Tour’s elite players in the field presents the experienced Draftkings player with a distinct advantage in GPP (guaranteed prize pools) and cash game contests. Before I discuss my picks and Draftkings strategy for this week, let’s take a quick look at the course the field will be playing this week at the 2019 Byron Nelson.

This event is being played at Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas Texas. Although the name suggests trees are all over the course, that is certainly not the case. This course is basically a coastal style golf course without any body of water near it. Trinity Forest offers wide open fairways and very large greens.

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The AT&T Byron Nelson was hosted by Trinity Forest for the first time in 2018. DFS players do not have a large sample of course history to evaluate as a result.

Now, let’s take a quick look at my strategy this week. After taking a look at this week’s field, which is clearly void of many elite players, I have decided to fade the chalk this week.

The clear class of this field is Brooks Koepka. The two-time United States Open champion is clearly a great player. However, I am unsure how motivated he is this week. Is Brooks merely just working on his game this week in competitive conditions gearing up for next week’s PGA Championship? Considering my concerns over his motivation and the fact that Brooks has not yet played this course I am fading him this week.

Additionally, in my opinion, it is a great play from a Draftkings strategy standpoint to fade Brooks. Just take a moment to consider the casual Draftkings players out there that will just auto click Brooks into lineups this week based only on his name recognition. As I stated earlier, this week’s event presents the sharp DFS player a real opportunity to succeed in Draftkings contests.

The statistics I am focusing on this week are par 4 scoring average and scoring off the tee.

Now let’s get to the fun part! My Draftkings picks for the 2019 Byron Nelson!

Keith Mitchell (9,100)

The 2019 Honda Classic Champion has had a breakout year in 2019. He has had a run of decent tournament play since his win.

Mitchell did have one slight bump in the road with a missed cut at the RBC Heritage in April. However, he bounced back with a strong 8th place finish at last week’s Wells Fargo Championship.

Killer Keith was fourth in the field in scoring off the tee in last week’s event. Mitchell also played the 2018 Byron Nelson finishing in 3rd place.

Starting your lineups with Mitchell at $9,100 gives you outstanding flexibility when constructing your Draftkings lineups this week.

Scott Piercy (8,400)

Piercy is coming off a 3rd place finish at the RBC Heritage, which was his last event on Tour. Piercy is currently 13th on the PGA Tour in par 4 scoring average. He also has made 13 of his last 14 cuts on Tour.

In my opinion, Piercy presents great value at $8,400 in this weak field.

Matt Jones (7,500)

The 39 year old Australian has been playing some very good golf in 2019. Jones has made 9 consecutive cuts on Tour. For me, a consistent cut maker is always welcome in my DFS lineups.

Additionally, he has some high quality finishes in 2019. He finished in a tie for 13th at the Farmers Insurance Open in February. He followed that nice result with a tie for 13th at the Valspar in March. Jones is currently 25th in strokes gained off the tee and 28th in strokes gained around the green on the PGA Tour.

I also love the fact that Jones played the Byron Nelson in 2018 and finished a very respectable 13th. Jones obviously liked the Trinity Forest course based on his result in 2018.

Brian Stuard (7,400)

Stuard has compiled some quality finishes on Tour this year. His last two tournament results on tour are: 16th at the RBC Heritage and 4th at the Valero Texas Open.

He currently is 36th on the PGA Tour in par 4 scoring average. Stuard also played this event at Trinity Forest in 2018, finishing 42nd. In my opinion, Stuard is a much better golfer in 2019 and will perform much better this week. I am backing him with confidence. Maybe he is this week’s Matt Homa.

If you are looking for lower priced players to complete your lineups:

Troy Merritt (7,100)

Brendon Todd (7,100)

Adam Schenk (7,000)

Next. AT&T Byron Nelson: Top 10 power rankings at Trinity Forest. dark

As always, good luck this week!

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