WGC-Mexico: Sleeper Candidates who could make some noise
Next up is the WGC-Mexico, where both the PGA Tour and the European Tour will be taking part. Here are some sleeper candidates to watch out for.
The WGC-Mexico is always a great event to watch. With the elevation change of Club de Golf Chapultepec, we see golf balls fly incredibly far. The course sits ~7,800 feet, meaning guys like Dustin Johnson are going to easily be clearing 350 yards in the air.
Take a look at the longest drives from last year, and you can see what I mean. What’s surprising is that DJ didn’t even make that list. I guess I just think of his incredible shot over the trees and onto the green, which is just as great as anyone on that list.
I was out of the country last week, and unable to get the article for the Genesis up. So let’s skip back a week and see how the picks did for the Waste Management Phoenix Open.
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Kurt Kitayama: T-18th (-5): An unfortunate +3 75 ruined his weekend on Sunday, and a chance at a top-five or even top-ten finish.
Jim Furyk: MC: Furyk missed the cut by one stroke, as he couldn’t overcome an opening 74.
Wyndham Clark: T-18th (-5): Another poor Sunday ruined his chances of a top-ten finish.
Scott Stallings: MC: Stallings started 73-73, and a Saturday 68 wasn’t strong enough.
Si Woo Kim: MC: Opened with a 77, and never had a shot to make the cut.
You know… maybe I should have stayed out of the country.
It’s a much smaller field this week, as there are only 72 players in the no-cut event. It might be a tough week once again, as exactly 1/3rd of the field falls at +5000 or stronger. Let’s get back on track by finding some sleeper candidates that will make some noise at this week’s event, the WGC-Mexico Championship.
Tyrrell Hatton: +6500
Hatton has been playing some top-notch golf this year. He won the Turkish Airlines Open and has four other top-twenty finishes to go along with it. His best came at the CJ Cup, where he finished T-6th. Hatton is looking for his first PGA Tour win, to go along with the four that he has gathered playing internationally. We know he can compete here, as he has finished T-19th, T-3rd, and 10th since the tournament moved to Chapultepec.
Rafa Cabrera Bello: +7000
Bello has a few things in common with Hatton. They both finished T-3rd in the 2018 edition of this event and T-19th last year. Also, they are both looking for their first PGA Tour win. They like to finish tied with each other, which is why I am taking them both to play strong this week. Cabrera Bello is top 35 in both SG gained off the tee and putting, which is why I like him at +1500 to finish in the top-five this week.
Kevin Kisner: +8000
Kevin Kisner is one of the more accurate drivers on tour, hitting 68.4% of fairways, good for 29th on Tour. With the way the ball flies at the WGC-Mexico event, he should see a lot of nice approach looks. After back-to-back top-ten finishes in unofficial events, the Hero World Challenge (T-7th) and the QBE Shootout (T-8th), Kisner followed it up with a T-14th at the Sentry and a T-4th at the Sony. I like him to get to the top-ten once again, and you can get him there at +600.
Cameron Smith: +10000
Smith is one of the best putters on Tour, ranking 10th in SG through 21 measured rounds. He also sits 25th in birdie average. He will look to use those two strengths to get back on track after missing two straight cuts. I see him getting back to the form he showed at the Sony Open and the CJ Cup, where he won and T-3rd, respectively. I like him to finish in the top-ten just like last year when he came in T-6th. You can get him there this year at +700.
Christiaan Bezuidenhout: +10000
Bezuidenhout hasn’t played much on the PGA Tour, staying on the European Tour. He is quite the golfer for those that aren’t familiar with him and just finished 2nd at the Omega Dubai Desert Classic. He has one win under his belt, the Andalucia in June of 2019. This will be his first trip to Chapultepec, and I like him to play well enough to make it into the top 20, which you can get at +280.
Best of luck to these guys at the WGC-Mexico this week. Time to watch some incredible golf!