It’s down to the final 30, and time to take a look at the longshots who are the best bets to win the Tour Championship.
We are down to it. It’s time for the Tour Championship. If you are interested in cashing in big though, it’s a good idea to take a look at what kind of value you can get on your bets.
Thanks to our friends over at the ActionNetwork, they have a list of not just every player’s odds to win, but also their starting score. It’s a nice format, as it gives you a good idea of where a player will be when the tournament starts, and what kind of odds they have compared to the players they are near as the Tour Championship tees off.
This isn’t a look at who I think is going to win, but who gets you the best value at the Tour Championship.
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We ignoring anyone that starts at -6 or stronger. There just isn’t great value here. You could make an argument for Webb Simpson, who starts at that number of -6 and sees +900 odds. Still, he might just be a decent value, and nothing better.
Beefy Bryson, Rory, Xander, and Finau all are eliminated as well. Finau is just +5000, even though he starts eight shots back. Possible okay value, but nothing special.
The one that immediately jumps out is Sungjae Im. He starts at -4 and has delectable odds of +12500. In comparison to the rest of the guys that are starting at -4, the next closest is Harris English at +6600, and no one else is above +3300. +12500 on someone that is only six strokes back are incredible odds.
You can take another look at a player who is +12500, and he is just one shot behind Im. That would be Brendon Todd, the man who almost went back-to-back-to-back. For someone who can get hot and hold it, it is hard to pass on Todd.
Next up is Lanto Griffin. I just don’t quite get this one. Yes, he starts at -2. He is tied for the second-worst odds though at +35000. He has been near the top of the leaderboard often enough throughout enough events, that if he gets hot at the right time, you would be kicking yourself if you passed up the chance at getting a nice, new car for $100 wager.
My favorite bet is one where we need to travel back up the leaderboard. That would be the man at -5, and most recent major winner, Collin Morikawa. Just five shots back, and he has +2200 odds. I love those odds. After watching Morikawa at Harding Park, where the pressure didn’t affect him at all, and he played to the top of an incredibly tight and talented leaderboard, it’s hard not to like him at this number.
There you have it. Hopefully, you are able to find a longshot that you have a good feeling about and find some good value for them.