American Express: Could a long shot win at PGA West?

Whenever we are heading into a tournament, there are a couple of things I like to look at. This week is no different at the American Express.

First, I like to check and see which players at the top of the leaderboard are returning to play this year. Do we need to be worried about the returning champ trying, against all odds, to win back-to-back? Is there a couple of favorites who have played well in the past returning to try and get a win?

Or, were there a handful of players who, against all odds (at least with low odds), performed quite well the year before? What I’m combining this week is the players returning this year who have low odds to win.

Let’s look at some long shots to win the American Express in 2021.

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Before we get into it, you should make sure to check out Action Network for all your gambling needs. Also, to only gamble on things where it is legal. *Cough* Get it together Washington State *Cough* Let’s start off with a Tiger… although, this one is from LSU.

Sam Burns: +5500

Although Burns hasn’t played since November, he turned in his best finish of the season so far through five events that he has played in. At the Vivint Houston Open, he shot 72 on the final day and still finished in a T-7th place. Then, last year at the American Express, he shot an incredible -9 63 on the final day to finish T-6th. Look for him to combine that success with a top finish this year.

Sepp Straka: +8557

Last year, Straka finished T-4th at two events. The Vivint Houston Open and the American Express. So far this year, his best finish at an event was T-5th… at the Vivint Houston Open. Does that mean we are going to see a T-5th this week at the American Express? Or will he finally break through and get that first win?

Tom Hoge: +12500

We are getting into the solid longshots here with Tom Hoge. He made headlines earlier this season with a strong showing at the Mayakoba Classic amidst a T-3rd place finish. He also played well here last year with a 5th place finish. His last professional win came in 2011, could we see his first win in a decade, and his first PGA Tour win at the American Express?

Andrew Landry: +16000

Was 2020 a fluke for Landry? He won the American Express last year with an incredible score of -26. He played incredibly well in each round, shooting 66-64-65-67 to win by two strokes. It would be his only top 20 finish of the year. He’s already carded a top-five finish this season, finishing T-4th at the RSM Classic right before the holiday break. Keep a close eye on Landry to see if it was a one-time happenstance, or if he will play well here again.

Grayson Murray: +40000

The longest of shots available, Murray actually played quite well here last year. He hasn’t had a ton of success since winning the Barbasol back in 2017, other than this tournament. T-12th in 2017. T-14th in 2018, and T-10th last year at the American Express. Will this long shot find success again? Might be worth throwing a bit down on him to at least make the top ten, which you can still get great odds on.

dark. Next. 2021 The American Express: Top 10 power rankings

Best of luck to everyone this week at the American Express.

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