Dark Horses for The American Express
I will be breaking down some of the dark horses for The American Express. A dark horse is what I would consider as anyone $7,500 or below on DraftKings. These guys are ones that the sportsbooks and DraftKings price down because they tend to usually have a small chance of winning, but I believe the guys listed could make a run.
Dark Horse Number 1
Joel Dahmen ($7,500) – Joel is someone that I would consider a dark horse because he is a cut maker. You know you can usually get a full four days of scoring from him. He doesn’t usually contend, but he can sneak his way into the top 20. Eight of his last 12 rounds have been in the 60’s which is positive with one being a low 61 in the second round of the RSM Classic. His last three starts in DK scoring were 95.5, 72 and 105.5.
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Dark Horse Number 2
Andrew Landry ($7,000) – I mentioned him in another article I wrote, but he has some amazing course history here. He can be a dark horse because he had a win last year and a runner-up in 2018 when he faced Jon Rahm in a playoff. Cancel out last tournament (because everyone can have a rough week) and he would look like he is in some good form. This guy can obviously contend here and I would not mind seeing it again this year as DraftKings is underestimating the tournament defender.
Dark Horse Number 3
Jim Herman ($6,700) – Herman is one of the dark horses because he just played his first tournament since November 19th, but played excellent for his standards. He had an opening round of 64, than followed with 69-69-66 for a 32nd place finish. At his cheap price, that’s great for your lineup with 93.5 DraftKings points. His last start here was in 2019 with a missed cut, but I am looking forward to a potential turn around.
Dark horses are great to look at when setting lineups because of ownership leverage. If you find that right one that ends up contending, you could be in for a great week. Most DFS players will usually keep the same guys at the top in their lineups and than use a variation of the cheaper players. This could mean that you get a guy like Jim Herman who gets hot one week with a top 10 finish and only 5% owned, therefore differentiating your lineup. This could help you cash out and win big.
That is the risk though too. At a cheap price like his for example could make him be one to miss the cut. But that is the risk and these guys are “dart” plays, meaning ones who we take a shot at and see if they hit. High risk, high reward.