Farmers Insurance Open cut line prediction: Schauffele, Homa, and Sungjae in trouble?

Taking a look at the cut line projection and prediction for the 2024 Farmers Insurance Open. Is last year's champion in trouble?
Max Homa - Farmers Insurance Open - Round One
Max Homa - Farmers Insurance Open - Round One / Sean M. Haffey/GettyImages

The 2024 Farmers Insurance Open was expected to provide one of the first real tests of the season for some of the game's best players. With its unique Wednesday start, Torrey Pines did not disappoint after 18 holes of action.

Those who took advantage of the famous locale's North Course got off to the perfect start on Wednesday but will face the stiff examination of the South Course next as they look to advance through the cut and to the weekend of this year's championship.

For the majority of those who began the week on the South Course at Torrey Pines, they will look to make up ground during the second round on Thursday after a challenging first day at the iconic venue.

The South played over two strokes more difficult than its North counterpart during the first round and just two of the current top 10 on the leaderboard began their week at Torrey Pines' South Course.

Players including Patrick Cantlay (-7), Shane Lowry (-6), Hideki Matsuyama (-6), Collin Morikawa (-5), and others were able to take advantage of the favorable conditions at Torrey Pines' North Course, for others, they have work to do if they hope to stick around for the weekend.

Hopefuls including Xander Schauffele (-3), Justin Rose (-3), Tony Finau (-3), defending Farmers Insurance Open champion Max Homa (-2), Sahith Theegala (E), Sungjae Im (+1), Will Zalatoris (+1), and Keegan Bradley (+1), could be in danger of ending up on the wrong end of this week's projected cut line.

The top 65 players and ties will advance to the weekend at Torrey Pines' South Course. Let's take a look at the cut projection for the 2024 Farmers Insurance Open and examine some of the big stars who could be in trouble at the current number.

Projected 2024 Farmers Insurance Open cut line at Torrey Pines

After one round of this year's Farmers Insurance Open, Data Golf has the projected cut line landing on -3 at a 40% chance. That mark moving north to -4 (25.2%) is currently listed as a marginal favorite over the cut line falling back to -2, which is currently only being given around a 23% chance of coming to fruition.

A cut line of -3 would match the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open cut mark which ended at that exact number. Last year's championship produced an even-par cut, while the 2021 Farmers Insurance Open produced a cut of -1.

A -3 cut line would currently be good news for players including, Xander Schauffele, Justin Rose, and Tony Finau, who would all be on the right side of this year's cut at Torrey Pines.

As things currently stand, however, it would leave players including last year's Farmers Insurance Open champion, Max Homa, on the outside looking in. Sahith Theegala, Sungjae Im, and Keegan Bradley would also be packing their bags and heading home early.

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There is still time to change all of that, of course, but each of those big names still has work left to do if they hope to make this year's Farmers Insurance Open cut.