Mexico Open cut line prediction, rules 2024: Can Finau make Vidanta Vallarta cut?

Tony Finau - 2024 Mexico Open at Vidanta
Tony Finau - 2024 Mexico Open at Vidanta / Orlando Ramirez/GettyImages

After several weeks of massive events with big-time purses and crazed atmospheres, this week's Mexico Open at Vidanta on the PGA Tour was always going to present much more of a laid-back vibe.

Some of the game's biggest stars may have elected to bypass this week's event at Vidanta Vallarta but that doesn't mean that there still wasn't plenty at stake for those who made the trek south of the border this week.

South African, Erik van Rooyen, will certainly be glad he opted to compete in this year's Mexico Open after he got off to a phenomenal start in round one. The 34-year-old opened with an 8-under 63; his season-low round on the PGA Tour.

The opening 63 matched Erik van Rooyen's final round tally at the World Wide Technology Championship last November in Los Cabos where the South African went on to claim an emotional victory following a dramatic final round at El Cardonal.

While Erik van Rooyen placed himself in good stead for the rest of the week at Vidanta Vallarta following his fantastic start, others will already be shifting their focus towards this week's potential cut line.

Mexico Open at Vidanta cut rules: How many players make the cut at Vidanta Vallarta?

Unlike two of the previous three events on the PGA Tour over the last handful of weeks, the Mexico Open at Vidanta will implement standard cut rules this week with the top 65 players and ties advancing through to the weekend following the conclusion of the second round.

This year marks only the third edition of the Mexico Open at Vidanta as an official PGA event. In the two years prior at Vidanta Vallarta, the cut mark eventually settled at 2-under at the halfway point in both 2022 and 2023.

Let's take a look at the cut line prediction for the 2024 Mexico Open at Vidanta and examine some big names who could be in trouble at the current number.

Mexico Open cut line prediction: What will the cut be at Vidanta Vallarta?

Following one round of this year's Mexico Open at Vidanta, Data Golf has the cut line landing on -2 for a third consecutive year at Vidanta Vallarta. The 2-under mark is currently being given around a 40% chance of coming to fruition.

The cut line falling back to -1 is currently a slight favorite over the mark moving to 3-under (17%) with a -1 cut line being given around a 30% chance.

Currently, a -2 cut line would be good news for players including the defending Mexico Open champion, Tony Finau, who opened with a 2-under 69 and would currently just make it through to the weekend on the number.

However, players including Maverick McNealy, Keith Mitchell, Jhonattan Vegas, and Robert MacIntyre would currently be left on the outside looking in.

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There is still time to change all of that, of course, but it certainly wouldn't come as that much of a surprise to see this year's Mexico Open at Vidanta cut mark end up on -2 for the third year running.