Mexico Open at Vidanta 2024: Expert picks, predictions

Following a fantastic couple of weeks on the West Coast highlighted by some of the biggest events on the PGA schedule this season, the Tour travels south of the border for the Mexico Open at Vidanta.

Vidanta Vallarta will host the PGA Tour for the third consecutive year in 2024 after the venue made its debut on the schedule in 2022. Jon Rahm won the inaugural edition that year but has since departed for the LIV Tour. Meanwhile, last year's champion, Tony Finau, will return to the Mexico Open at Vidanta this week looking to defend his title.

Following a few weeks with some elite fields, this week's Mexico Open field takes a bit of a step back with only three players ranked inside of the OWGR Top 40 in attendance.

Nonetheless, there are still precious FedEx Cup points up for grabs this week and those who have made the trip to Mexico will compete to position themselves inside of the AON Swing 5 ahead of the next signature event at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in a few weeks time.

Vidanta Vallarta

• Greg Norman Design

• Par: 71

• Yards: 7,456

• Greens: Paspalum

Mexico Open at Vidanta Favorites

Note: All listed odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. For more betting content for all sports, check out BetSided.

• Tony Finau +850

• Nicolai Hojgaard +1400

• Keith Mitchell +2200

• Thomas Detry +2500

• Taylor Pendrith +2500

• Stephan Jaeger +2500

• Emiliano Grillo +2500

• Thorbjorn Olesen +2800

Mexico Open at Vidanta Expert Picks and Predictions

Pick to Top 20: Sam Stevens +220

This will be Sam Stevens' first start at the Mexico Open, but Vidanta Vallarta should suit his game well. The 27-year-old crushes it off the tee and that should work in his favor at a locale that rewards bombers off the tee.

Stevens hasn't missed a cut on the PGA Tour in 2024 and he comes into the week fresh off a T-28 finish in his last start at the WM Phoenix Open two weeks ago. Additionally, the Oklahoma State product had some nice finishes at coastal layouts last year finishing T-3 at the Corales Puntacana Championship and T-15 at the Puerto Rico Open.

Pick to Top 20: Andrew Novak +400

Andrew Novak may have found something in his last start at the WM Phoenix Open where he was exceptional and in contention for a while before eventually finishing T-8.

The 31-year-old, who is making his third start at the Mexico Open, has made the cut on two previous visits to Vidanta Vallarta including 2022 when he finished T-15 here in his debut at the event.

Andrew is another player who has had some solid results on coastal tracks previously, finishing T-12 at the Sony Open in Hawaii in 2023, T-17 at the Butterfield Bermuda Championship in 2022, and T-11 at the Corales Puntacana Championship in 2022.

Pick to win the Mexico Open: Keith Mitchell +2200

Keith Mitchell is still in search of his second victory out on tour after his breakthrough win back in 2019 at the Honda Classic, could this be the week he finds himself in the winner's circle once again?

The University of Georgia product will be making his first start at Vidanta Vallarta this week but this is a layout that should suit his game well. Much like Stevens before him, Keith crushes the ball off the tee and he is one of the best in the field with his long irons.

The 32-year-old has played well thus far in 2024 with four made cuts in five starts and finishes of T-9 at the American Express and T-17 in his last start at the WM Phoenix Open.

Longshot pick to win: Harry Hall +13000

Hall finished T-10 in his debut at the Mexico Open last year and the Englishman has shown the ability to contend at this level on previous occasions, most notably at the Charles Schwab Challenge last year where Hall finished T-3 in a field that included Scottie Scheffler, Sam Burns, Rickie Fowler, Collin Morikawa, and a host of other big names.