Valspar Championship cut line prediction 2024: Can Tony Finau, Sam Burns make cut?

Tony Finau - Valspar Championship
Tony Finau - Valspar Championship / Douglas P. DeFelice/GettyImages

With last week's PLAYERS Championship now firmly in the rearview mirror, the PGA Tour remained in Florida this week for the final event of this year's Florida Swing, the 2024 Valspar Championship.

The revered Copperhead Course at Innisbrook, home of the legendary 'Snake Pit', always delivers a tough test of championship golf for some of the best players in the world and early signs indicated this year's edition would produce more of the same.

One player who overcame the difficult test in the early going of this year's Valspar Championship, however, was 45-year-old Kevin Streelman. The 2013 champion is by no means a stranger to success on this challenging layout and on Thursday Streelman fired off an exceptional bogey-free round of 7-under 64 for the outright lead.

Xander Schauffele began his week with a solid 3-under 68, this coming off of his narrow miss at last week's PLAYERS Championship. Xander, who finished T2 at TPC Sawgrass last weekend, is in search of his first win since the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open.

Like Schauffele before him, Justin Thomas is coming off a rough week of his own at THE PLAYERS, but unlike Xander, it's for a completely different reason. Thomas, the 2021 PLAYERS Champion, missed the cut on his return to TPC Sawgrass last week. The two-time PGA Champion matched Schauffele's opening tally with a 68 of his own in round one.

Meanwhile, last year's Genesis Scottish Open runner-up, Robert MacIntyre opened his account in red figures this week with 1-under 70. The Scotsman, who was a part of last autumn's victorious European Ryder Cup team, made early headlines following his hilariously vicious reminder to his American rivals of the outcome at Marco Simone last October.

While plenty found early success in the opening stages of this year's Valspar Championship, others weren't so fortunate. Those players have ground to make up if they want to keep their dreams of sticking around for the weekend alive.

Players including, two-time Valspar champion Sam Burns, Tony Finau, and Sungjae Im, all have work left to be done in order to make this year's Valspar Championship cut. What exactly will this year's cut land on, though? Let's examine this week's predicted cut line and find out what that pivotal number may be in 2024.

Valspar Championship format and historic cut line at Innisbrook

Following a run of events with non-traditional cut rules or no cut at all, this week's Valspar Championship marks the second consecutive week with a standard PGA Tour cut.
The Top 65 players and ties in this year's 155-man field will advance through to the weekend following the conclusion of the second round.

Here is a look at the last five editions of the Valspar Championship and what the cut line has been on each occasion.

Year of Tournament

Official Cut Line

2023 Valspar Championship


2022 Valspar Championship


2021 Valspar Championship


2019 Valspar Championship


2018 Valspar Championship


Valspar Championship: 2024 cut line prediction at Innisbrook

With the majority of the first round at this year's Valspar Championship officially in the books, Data Golf is projecting a cut line of +1. The current number is being given around a 38% chance of coming to fruition and is a marginal favorite. If that were to occur, it would mark the third time that has taken place in the last six editions of this event.

Meanwhile, a cut mark of E is being given around a 37% probability while the cut line falling back to +2 is only being given around an 11% chance.

A cut line of +1 would currently be good news for the aforementioned Sungjae Im and Tony Finau, both of whom would make the cut right on the number. Sam Burns would also be safely through to the weekend with his sights set firmly on a third Valspar title in the last four years.

Next. Valspar Championship Power Rankings 2024. 2024 Valspar Championship power rankings. light

As things currently stand, the trio of Burns, Im, and Finau, would be safely through to the weekend at this year's Valspar Championship, of course, there is still time for all of that to change, especially with such narrow margins being the difference between a projected mark of +1 or even par.

It could potentially be a very nervy finish for those players and their fans heading into the weekend at Innisbrook.