Sony Open in Hawaii projected cut line 2025: Will Ryder Cup captain make cut?

The 2025 PGA Tour season is officially underway and after beginning the Tour's 'Opening Drive' last week on the Island of Maui, the PGA made the short trip to Honolulu for the second event on the calendar, this week's Sony Open in Hawaii. Waialae Country Club has hosted the PGA Tour since 1965 and this week it welcomed the first full-field of the new season following last week's limited-field signature event at Kapalua.

Nowadays, events with 36-hole cuts on the PGA Tour are something of a rarity but the Sony Open in Hawaii remains one of the stops on the schedule where players will have to sweat out a cut at the halfway point. As such, those who made the journey to Waialae CC knew it would be imperative to get off to a good start at this year's Sony Open.

Harry Hall was one of six players who got off to the perfect start after opening his event with a 6-under 64 on day one. The exceptional start saw Hall swiftly climb to the top of the leaderboard but incredibly, last year's winner of the ISCO Championship would be joined by five others who also opened with 64s; something that would match the Sony Open record if it held, per PGA Tour Comms.

With Hall and others off to fantastic starts and more than 88 players at 1-under or better, the field knew going into the second round that they would need to capitalize on their scoring opportunities if they wanted to have a chance of sticking around for the weekend. But exactly what is the cut line likely to be at this year's Sony Open in Hawaii and who could be in danger of missing out? Let's take a look at the projections and try to predict where the cut line might fall this time around.

Projected Sony Open in Hawaii cut line: What will the cut be in 2025?

With the majority of the first round officially in the books at the end of day one of this year's championship, Data Golf is projecting a -2 cut line and giving it around a 40% chance of coming to fruition. Should the projection hold, that mark would match each of the last two editions of the Sony Open in Hawaii which also saw a cut line of -2.

Meanwhile, the cut line moving forward to -3 is currently more likely than the cut falling back to -1 according to the projections with -3 being given around a 30% chance, confirming the likelihood of this year's field in Hawaii continuing to take advantage of the scorable conditions at Waialae.

Notable names who could be in danger of missing the Sony Open in Hawaii cut

One of the most notable names who would be in danger of missing this year's cut at the Sony Open in Hawaii as things stand is Ryder Cup captain Keegan Bradley. The U.S. captain finished runner-up at last year's Sony Open but after opening this year's tournament with a 1-under 69 he would narrowly miss out on making the weekend at the current number.

Others who would currently join Bradley in narrowly missing out include Maverick McNealy, Daniel Berger, and Taylor Pendrith, who all opened with 1-under 69s and have work to do to stick around for the weekend.

Meanwhile, other notables including Joel Dahmen (E), 2023 Sony Open winner Si Woo Kim (+1), Billy Horschel (+1), Corey Conners (+2), and last year's joint runner-up, Byeong Hun An (+2), have significantly more work to do during the second round if they hope to make the first cut of the season as things currently stand.