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2021 Rocket Mortgage Classic: Dark Horses

By Richard McCusker

BLAINE, MINNESOTA - JULY 23: Seamus Power of Ireland plays his shot from the fourth tee during the first round of the 3M Open on July 23, 2020 at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
BLAINE, MINNESOTA - JULY 23: Seamus Power of Ireland plays his shot from the fourth tee during the first round of the 3M Open on July 23, 2020 at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images) /
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Before I jump into this week’s tournament, I wanted to do a quick recap for the Travelers Championship. My three dark horses were Guido Migliozzi, Stewart Cink, and Ian Poulter. All three of them played very well, making the cut and doing more on top of that. Poulter came in a tie for 36th at 4-under, Cink came in a tie for 30th at 5-under, and Guido came in a tie for 13th at 8-under. Incredible week in DFS because I paired them with Cantlay, Ancer, and the winner, Harris English! 10x return on my entry and 318th out of 95,124! Hopefully we can keep that rolling into this week.

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This week, the PGA Tour is heading to Detroit Golf Club in Detroit, MI for the Rocket Mortgage Classic. It is headlined by Bryson, Patrick Reed, and Webb Simpson. Last year we saw some dark horses like Ryan Armour, Adam Hadwin, and Mav McNealy come into the top 10. This is a very scorable course, which helps those lower tier guys, like the Korn Ferry player contend here. Harder courses show better players at the top because of the challenges, unlike here where anyone can rally and rack up birdies.

This week I will be providing three dark horses, meaning players that are longshots, but could play really well for their low salary. These dark horses are golfers that are $7,500 and below. Also I use DraftKings, so these prices will be for their website, but the players can be used on FanDuel as well.

Dark Horse Number 1

Seamus Power ($7,500): Power is one of my dark horses because of the recent finishes. The key stats are decent for his price, but coming inside the top 20 twice and top 10 twice in the past five starts is very intriguing to me. He came in a tie for 12th last year here and is one of my favorite value guys to target this year.

Last Five Finishes on Tour: 19th, 19th, 9th, 54th, 9th

Last Two Finishes Here: T12, MC

Key Stats:

SG Off the Tee: 154th

Par 4 Scoring Average: 24th

Birdie or Better Percentage: 92nd

Dark Horse Number 2

Mark Hubbard ($7,300): The stats look pretty bad, but he is a guy that we saw last week can go out there and score. Hubbard is another of my dark horses because he flashed that upside last week. He has been playing decently, and makes me want to hop on him after seeing that he came in a tie for 12th in 2020. Definitely a riskier play, but there is upside from him at a scorer’s course that should end at around -21.

Last Five Finishes on Tour: 13th, 57th, 42nd, MC, 34th

Last Two Finishes Here: T12, DNP

Key Stats:

SG Off the Tee: 177th

Par 4 Scoring Average: 132nd

Birdie or Better Percentage: 139th

Next. 2021 Travelers Championship: Winners and Losers from Connecticut. dark

Dark Horse Number 3

Hank Lebioda ($7,200): Lebioda is my final dark horse because he has been hot lately. A top five and two top 20’s in his last five starts. This guy is a scorer and we saw it last week with a 67 and 66 on the weekend at the Travelers. He has shown throughout this season that he can shoot in the mid 60’s and that is what it will take to contend here. Flashes upside like Hubbard, but I believe he is a little bit safer than him due to his recent finishes. He has yet to make a cut here in this tournament’s existence, but it is a new year and an even better Hank.

Last Five Finishes on Tour: 5th, 31st, 17th, 51st, 13th

Last Two Finishes Here: MC, MC

Key Stats:

SG Off the Tee: 139th

Par 4 Scoring Average: 50th

Birdie or Better Percentage: 123rd

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