Valero Texas Open 2024 picks and predictions for TPC San Antonio

Corey Conners - Valero Texas Open
Corey Conners - Valero Texas Open / Alex Bierens de Haan/GettyImages

The PGA Tour extends its stay in the Lone Star State for one more week as the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio welcomes some of the game's best for the 2024 playing of the Valero Texas Open.

With the first major of the year just around the corner now, one of the strongest Valero Texas Open fields in recent memory will look to get one final tune-up in before next week's Masters. World No. 2 Rory McIlroy leads a contingent of four of the world's top 10 players who are set to tee it up in Texas this week.

Nine of the top 20 OWGR-ranked players including the aforementioned McIlroy, Brian Harman, Ludvig Aberg, Max Homa, Matt Fitzpatrick, Tommy Fleetwood, Hideki Matsuyama, Collin Morikawa, and Jordan Spieth, are all set to compete in this year's Valero Texas Open.

TPC San Antonio

  • Par: 72
  • Yards: 7,438
  • Architect: Greg Norman (with assistance from Sergio Garcia)
  • Greens: Bermuda & Poa blend

Canadian Corey Conners returns to the Valero Texas Open in 2024 as the two-time defending champion following his wins at TPC San Antonio last year and in 2019. Other previous winners in recent years of the Valero Texas Open in this week's field include J.J. Spaun (2022), Jordan Spieth (2021), Andrew Landry (2018), and Kevin Chappell (2017).

Valero Texas Open Favorites

Note: All listed odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. For more betting content for all sports, check out BetSided.

  • Rory McIlroy +900
  • Ludvig Aberg +1200
  • Jordan Spieth +2000
  • Hideki Matsuyama +2000
  • Max Homa +2200
  • Matt Fitzpatrick +2500
  • Corey Conners +2500
  • Collin Morikawa +2500
  • Byeong Hun An +3000
  • Alex Noren +3000

Valero Texas Open Picks and Predictions

Pick to Top 20: Ryan Moore +360

Ryan Moore has been playing some solid golf of late and he comes into this year's Valero Texas Open having made his last three cuts on the PGA Tour for the first time in 2024. In those last three starts, Ryan has accumulated finishes of T-45 (PLAYERS Championship), T-5 (Valspar), and T-31 (Houston Open).

The 41-year-old missed the cut last year at the Valero Texas Open and didn't tee it up in 2022, but prior to that had recorded two top 10 finishes at TPC San Antonio in three starts, including finishing 3rd here in 2019.

Moore has been exceptional with his approach play of late having not lost strokes in that department in each of his last five starts. He ranks 1st in the field in SG: Approach over the past 20 rounds. He could be in for another great week at the Valero Texas Open if he can continue firing with his irons.

Pick to Win: K.H. Lee +7500

K.H. Lee is heating up at the perfect time. The two-time PGA Tour winner comes into this year's Valero Texas Open on the back of two top 10s (T4-Cognizant, T9-Valspar) in his last four starts. Now, TPC Lee gets to take on another TPC course at TPC San Antonio.

Lee has had tremendous success at another Texas stop, the Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch (two wins), and now he gets the opportunity to extend that success in the Lone Star State at the Valero Texas Open. K.H. has made three previous appearances at TPC San Antonio and has recorded finishes of T-14 (2019) and T-23 (2021) in two of those starts.

The two-time AT&T Byron Nelson winner finished T-31 at last week's Texas Children's Houston Open, a result that could have been even better if not for a second round-72. Lee recorded three rounds of 68 the rest of the week on a challenging layout at Memorial Park.

Pick to Win: Hideki Matsuyama +2000

There is a strong case to be made that Matsuyama should be the favorite this week following his performances of late.

The 2021 Masters champion hasn't finished worse than T-12 in each of his last three starts coming into this year's Valero Texas Open, this includes a scintillating come-from-behind win at this year's Genesis Invitational in February.

Hideki has recorded finishes of T-30 (2021) and T-15 (2023) in two of his last three starts at TPC San Antonio. He hasn't lost strokes on approach in any of his last three starts and ranks 1st in the field in Strokes Gained: Tee to green over the last 20 rounds.

Next. 2024 Valero Texas Open Power Rankings. 2024 Valero Texas Open Power Rankings. light

A win this week could send his Masters hype into overdrive; something that may very well come to fruition on Sunday if he can continue his excellent play for a fourth start running.